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Animal Spirits: Why Retail is Outperforming

Business ProBy Business ProOctober 1, 20255 Mins Read
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Animal Spirits: Why Retail is Outperforming


Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by YCharts and Fabric:

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On today’s show, we discuss:

Listen here:

Charts:

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Tweets/Bluesky:

It’s worth remembering that while the top-heavy concentration during the late 1990’s was quickly reversed in the early 2000’s, during the 1950’s and 1960’s the market remained top-heavy for many years before excessive valuations finally took their toll. This could take some time. pic.twitter.com/tWF9tVOfUz

— Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) September 25, 2025

The leaders of the pack, the Mag 7, continue to lead with their earnings and are not showing signs of valuation excesses.

Taking a broader lens to the Mag 7 and looking at the Nifty Fifty, my study of the 50 largest stocks shows that we are nowhere near the valuation extremes… pic.twitter.com/AAlxYYJnei

— Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) September 25, 2025

These numbers are in billions. pic.twitter.com/70JtN1RDgi

— Josh Schafer (@_JoshSchafer) September 25, 2025

Global new highs aren’t fading… they have been accelerating.

73 days of more new highs than new lows… longest run since May 2021

This isn’t isolated strength.

👉https://t.co/SFVrMKtCeH pic.twitter.com/2kP631D9F9

— Grant Hawkridge (@granthawkridge) September 29, 2025

The four biggest speculative “quantum” stocks – $IONQ $RGTI $QUBT $QBTS – came into today up an average of 2,750% year-over-year. Analysts estimate combined 2025 revenues for these companies will be about $124 million. They have a combined market cap of $46 billion.

— Bespoke (@bespokeinvest) September 25, 2025

The number of levered ETFs has doubled over the last three years, and assets under management have almost tripled since 2022@LeutholdGroup pic.twitter.com/Y46cUCIPHU

— Gunjan Banerji (@GunjanJS) September 24, 2025

Wow. Final read on Q2 GDP is 3.8%. (The initial report was 3%)

Consumption was +2.5% in Q2. Both goods and services spending was healthy.

The U.S. consumer remained a lot stronger than many thought, even in the midst of a stock market sell-off and a lot of trade uncertainty. pic.twitter.com/qqPNJD7SDP

— Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) September 25, 2025

There is a woman in San Francisco who charges $30k to name your baby.

She started at $100, but she was going to dinner with VCs and a friend told her to charge more and nobody blinked.

The Bay Area might be the best place in the world for this kind of business. pic.twitter.com/6eCy0iUiqE

— Sheel Mohnot (@pitdesi) September 28, 2025

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Nothing in this blog constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security.  Any opinions expressed herein do not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship, or recommendation by Ritholtz Wealth Management or its employees. 

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References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others.

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