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Animal Spirits: It Feels Like 1999

Business ProBy Business ProOctober 8, 20255 Mins Read
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Animal Spirits: It Feels Like 1999


Today’s Animal Spirits is brought to you by Betterment Advisor Solutions and Vanguard:

This episode is sponsored by Betterment Advisor Solutions. Grow your RIA, your way by visiting: https://Betterment.com/advisors

This episode is sponsored by Vanguard. Learn more at: https://www.vanguard.com/audio

On today’s show, we discuss:

Listen here:

Charts:

Recommendations:

Tweets/Bluesky:

According to Challenger, the pace of hiring has fallen off a cliff. Weakest September for job creation since 2011. https://t.co/ebwkUkVFbn pic.twitter.com/HYumFHSphD

— Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) October 2, 2025

This is a surface level take.

Most AI capex (i.e. from hyperscalers) is spending against current demand with revenue coming in immediately.

Let’s dig a little deeper.

— John Shedletsky (@Shedletsky) October 3, 2025

Returns have been basically straight up since the Liberation Day lows. The Nasdaq has not seen even a 3% correction since then. The streak is now at 115 market days, the seventh longest going back to 1971. For comparison, the index has averaged a 3% correction every 20 days. pic.twitter.com/9Mapfdi9FO

— Rob Anderson (@_rob_anderson) October 3, 2025

For international equities the valuation question doesn’t pose much of a dilemma.  The MSCI EAFE index not only has a reasonable valuation of 16.5x expected earnings, but its payout growth (as well as payout ratio) has become quite competitive with the US.  International… pic.twitter.com/37F0jIaUIo

— Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) October 1, 2025

pic.twitter.com/vTQJdGm7zn

— Martin Shkreli (@MartinShkreli) October 3, 2025

Everyone is a genius in a bull mkt pic.twitter.com/3kNs3Vnjmr

— TTI (@TikTokInvestors) October 5, 2025

There are now 19 stocks in the Russell 3,000 up more than 400% since the 4/8 Tariff Crash low. pic.twitter.com/NwVEFv5fwC

— Bespoke (@bespokeinvest) October 3, 2025

pic.twitter.com/Tx4lB93SUZ

— modest proposal (@modestproposal1) September 30, 2025

Paul Tudor Jones just said on CNBC that he thinks the ingredients are in place for massive stock price increases before the bull market tops out

“My guess is that I think all the ingredients are in place for some kind of a blow off” … “History rhymes a lot, so I would think… pic.twitter.com/FkZNlFBOXk

— Evan (@StockMKTNewz) October 6, 2025

There is a bubble in financial news stories that lead w/a picture of a bubble

Saw all of these in stories just in the past week pic.twitter.com/udr7ya0ZmK

— Ben Carlson (@awealthofcs) October 6, 2025

The last 6 months have been all about low quality.

The junikier the better! @AugurInfinity

Stocks of tech companies that are not profitable have more than doubled since the April 8 low.https://t.co/NUEbg6YUF8 pic.twitter.com/GeuVCuiDJX

— Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT 🍖 (@MikeZaccardi) October 3, 2025

I don’t own any BDC’s, but the BDC squad is flashing a warning sign. All names in the toilet this year, and a lot of the sponsored BDC’s like HSBD, CGBD, OBDC are absolutely tanking. pic.twitter.com/wEEC9HHipd

— Cluseau Investments (@blondesnmoney) September 30, 2025

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References to any securities or digital assets, or performance data, are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others.

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